There was also an impact on the price of Bitcoin before the halving. For example, before the 2020 halving, it was up nearly 20%. Before the 2016 halving, it rose 142%. And before the 2012 halving, it gained 384%. 5. Bitcoin On-chain Accumulation Before and After Halvings There are currently about 18.6 million Bitcoin outstanding, which only leaves about 2.4 million Bitcoin left to be mined. Back in 2009, when the first Bitcoin was mined, you could get 50 Bitcoin as the block reward if you were a Bitcoin miner. As of May 2020, you can only get 6.25 Bitcoin as a reward for mining a block. We’ve gone through a three halvings since the launch of the Bitcoin blockchain(from 50 Bitcoin to 25, then from 25 to 12.5, and most recently from 12.5 to 6.25). The next halving is expected to occur around spring of 2024.
Meanwhile, pseudonymous analyst Rekt Capital has suggested that Bitcoin could witness an 18-month-long bull market after the April 2024 halving. Rekt Capital's analysis, based on historical data, indicates that Bitcoin could top out in either mid-September 2025 or mid-October 2025. However, he also warns that Bitcoin could collapse in the months leading to the halving, potentially revisiting its macro higher low around ~$20,300 in mid-February 2024. At the time of writing on Monday, Bitcoin is worth $26,258, suggesting a potential over 22% devaluation for BTC according to Rekt Capital's downside target. What Is Bitcoin Halving? The next halving – the third since Bitcoin's inception – is scheduled to occur on May 18, 2020. Miners will start to receive 6.25 BTC per block transaction, 50 percent less than the prior 12.50 BTC compensation (hence, “halving”). Traders will keep a close eye on how prices respond. Assuming supply stays constant and demand increases, scarcity will drive Bitcoin higher.